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In 1988, Mr. Neely published a 72-year Elliott Wave forecast predicting that the U.S. stock market would continually and exponentially escalate in the coming decades. The current market high indicates that his astounding long-term forecast is still on track!
Mr. Neely points out that he published his long-term Dow forecast in 1988. When he recorded his video workshop (see video below) in 1995, the Dow had not yet reached 5,000.
"At the time, I was calling for a massive Bull market, projecting the Dow to get to 30,000 and higher over many years, and we are there now."
He says, "This three-decade-long Elliott Wave forecast is still working!"
Glenn Neely adds: "It's interesting to note that orthodox Elliott Wave forecasters have basically been proclaiming 'end of the world' bear markets for nearly every one of the last thirty years. My long-term bullish outlook is a HUGE differentiator between NEoWave and the orthodox crowd. Currently, the Dow is about halfway through the longest vertical price advance drawn on the chart that I included in my 1988 forecast."
Glenn Neely's published 72-year Elliott Wave forecast:
He wrote in 1988, "This advance should last for decades, creating the biggest bull market of all time (see Figure 6)." The graph below shows the market as he predicted decades ago.
Neely, Glenn, "Stock Market Forecast to the Year 2060", Cycles 1988: 222
Read Mr. Neely's article, titled "The Future Course of the U.S. Stock Market: An Elliott Wave Viewpoint," which steps through his 72-year stock market forecast. When you read the article, you can track the Dow's progress from 1988 to present day, along with Mr. Neely's forecast all the way to 2060. Mr. Neely published his long-term forecast in the Foundation for the Study of Cycles publication in its September/October 1988 "Elliott Wave" issue, and his shocking prediction sparked global controversy!
Read the article
In this 10-minute video workshop, Glenn Neely explains his long-term forecast. In 1995 - when the Dow was below 5,000 - Mr. Neely presented a workshop where he stepped through the reasoning behind his long-term (72-year) forecast. Thankfully, this workshop was recorded, and you can watch the video! In this video, he notes that the Dow would reach the "astounding" level of 20,000, 30,000 and even higher - a goal that most traders and Elliott Wave analysist considered to be impossible at the time!
Watch the videoMr. Neely starts by showing the Wave structure for the entire history of the U.S. stock market, pointing out the long-term growth trajectory.
He explains that his long-term (72-year) forecast - published in 1988 - indicates the stock market will continue to progress and advance for decades, going into about 2060.
In this video, Glenn Neely says,
"The future force - or power - of the market is so great that the correction is stretched upward ... an upward drift that concludes a huge double-three-running second Wave correction [that began] in 1949. The market began its largest, most powerful, persistent advance in the history of the United States. ... What does that tell you? It tells you the market isn't slowing down. We're moving into a period of increasing momentum. [As a reminder, the Dow was below 5,000 at the time of this 1995 video.] ... Eventually, on a long scale, we're talking about the Dow going up to 10,000, 20,000, 30,000, 40,000, or 50,000 over about 60 years. This sounds outrageous to a lot of people. ... When you think of it in terms of historical logarithmic percentages, it's very plausible. ... This is extremely possible."
Neely, Glenn, 1995, "Glenn Neely: Elliott Wave for the Stock Market"
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tp7O1aEFTF0
